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Array (ARRY): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings?

ARRY Cover Image

Array has been treading water for the past six months, recording a small return of 4.7% while holding steady at $6.45.

Is now the time to buy Array, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Get the full breakdown from our expert analysts, it’s free.

Why Do We Think Array Will Underperform?

We're cautious about Array. Here are three reasons why you should be careful with ARRY and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Sales Volumes Stall, Demand Waning

Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (the number of units sold). While both are important, volume is the lifeblood of a successful Renewable Energy company because there’s a ceiling to what customers will pay.

Over the last two years, Array failed to grow its units sold, which came in at 3,246 in the latest quarter. This performance was underwhelming and implies there may be increasing competition or market saturation. It also suggests Array might have to lower prices or invest in product improvements to accelerate growth, factors that can hinder near-term profitability. Array Units Sold

2. Cash Burn Ignites Concerns

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Array’s demanding reinvestments have drained its resources over the last five years, putting it in a pinch and limiting its ability to return capital to investors. Its free cash flow margin averaged negative 1.9%, meaning it lit $1.89 of cash on fire for every $100 in revenue.

Array Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines

ROIC, or return on invested capital, is a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Over the last few years, Array’s ROIC has unfortunately decreased significantly. Paired with its already low returns, these declines suggest its profitable growth opportunities are few and far between.

Array Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

Array falls short of our quality standards. That said, the stock currently trades at 10× forward P/E (or $6.45 per share). While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is huge given its shaky fundamentals. There are more exciting stocks to buy at the moment. We’d suggest looking at an all-weather company that owns household favorite Taco Bell.

Stocks We Would Buy Instead of Array

Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.

While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we’re leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Take advantage of Mr. Market by checking out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

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